WorldTribune, May 11, 2021
Geostrategy-Direct
The United States must change its outdated strategy on nuclear conflict, an analyst said.
“We now are in a multipolar nuclear world,” Paul Bracken, a political science professor at Yale University, told the Senate Armed Services Committee on April 28.
“It isn’t just Russia with the bomb anymore. China is doubling its nuclear forces, according to the director of national intelligence. Pakistan could have 300 weapons in 10 years. If China and Pakistan expand, it is hard to believe that India will not respond accordingly,” Bracken told the committee.
North Korea is expected to have 150 nuclear weapons in 10 years, along with long-range missiles capable of ranging U.S. targets, and shorter-range systems targeting Japan and South Korea.
Bracken said the U.S. is paying too much attention to the most unlikely nuclear war scenarios, according to a report by security correspondent Bill Gertz for the Washington Times.
Some 90 percent of strategic military efforts today seek to deter surprise nuclear attacks, with 10 percent focused on an accidental war, he said.
“That the United States could be fighting on the doorstep of nuclear weapon states — areas bristling with much larger numbers of weapons than today — is the real deterrence challenge,” Bracken said.
Further complicating the nuclear situation are China‘s large-scale nuclear buildup, Russia’s new, exotic strategic arms, and the expansion of other nuclear arsenals.
Bracken said China‘s nuclear might is among the most worrying sources for inducing a future strategic war as the communist regime builds nuclear missiles, missile submarines and bombers.
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